The daytime version of the risk check (snapshot 14:26 UTC+8).
- 73 virtual accounts, 78 closed trades, 4 wins, net −$5.60. After removing duplicates there were only 37 independent trades and 2 independent wins. No account has 30 trades yet, so nothing can be called "working" or "broken" statistically.
- Where the losses come from: about 51% fees and 25% slippage. On the 15-minute timeframe the 0.6% round-trip cost is about 3× the typical 15-minute range (ATR ≈0.20%). In a 14-day historical comparison, all 28 fifteen-minute variants were negative, so this is structural.
- Interesting finding: when 15-minute and 4-hour strategies were both in a position, they pointed in opposite directions 84.6% of the time.
- Proposed limits for the paper accounts: risk ≤0.5% of equity per trade, ≤10% notional, no leverage, and no new positions around scheduled events.